GINSBURG, Circuit Judge:
The Young America's Foundation sued to compel the Secretary of Defense to withhold funds from the University of California —Santa Cruz because the University allegedly maintains a policy or practice that denies military recruiters access to the campus equal to the access available to other employers. The district court dismissed the case for lack of jurisdiction, holding both that YAF lacks standing and that the Secretary's decision whether to enforce the Solomon Amendment is committed to his discretion by law and therefore not reviewable under the Administrative Procedure Act, see 5 U.S.C. § 701(a)(2). Because we agree YAF lacks standing, we affirm the order of the district court on that ground alone.
I. Background
No federal funds subject to the so-called Solomon Amendment may be provided to a college or university
10 U.S.C. § 983(b); see id. § 983(d) (monies to be withheld include all "funds made available for" use by certain departments and agencies, not including funds for student financial assistance).
YAF informed the Secretary of these incidents at UCSC but the Secretary took no action pursuant to the Solomon Amendment. YAF eventually filed this suit, seeking a writ of mandamus and an injunction ordering the Secretary to determine that UCSC is in violation of the Amendment and to withhold covered federal funds.
The district court dismissed the case for lack of jurisdiction, holding YAF lacked standing and the Secretary's decision regarding enforcement of the Solomon Amendment was committed to his discretion by law and therefore not subject to judicial review under the APA. 560 F.Supp.2d 39, 47 (2008). YAF then appealed.
II. Analysis
We review de novo a dismissal for lack of standing, Renal Physicians Ass'n v. U.S. Dep't of Health & Human Servs., 489 F.3d 1267, 1273 (D.C.Cir.2007), on the assumption the allegations of the complaint relevant to standing are true, Metro. Wash. Airports Auth. v. Citizens for Abatement of Aircraft Noise, Inc., 501 U.S. 252, 264, 111 S.Ct. 2298, 115 L.Ed.2d 236 (1991). A membership organization has standing to sue if, inter alia, "at least one of its members would have standing to sue in his own right." Sierra Club v. EPA, 292 F.3d 895, 898 (D.C.Cir.2002) (citing Hunt v. Wash. State Apple Adver. Comm'n, 432 U.S. 333, 342-43, 97 S.Ct. 2434, 53 L.Ed.2d 383 (1977)). Because, as we conclude below, no member of YAF has standing to sue in his own right, YAF lacks standing.
The "irreducible constitutional minimum of standing contains three elements": (1) injury in fact, (2) causation, and (3) redressability. Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560-61, 112 S.Ct. 2130, 119 L.Ed.2d 351 (1992). YAF asserts its members have been injured because they have been deprived of the opportunity to meet on the UCSC campus with military recruiters. The district court assumed YAF had alleged a sufficient injury, but held it had not alleged facts sufficient to show the injury (1) was caused by the Secretary's failure to list UCSC as not in compliance with the Solomon Amendment and to withhold funds accordingly and (2) would be redressed by an order compelling him to do so. 560 F.Supp.2d. at 50. We agree that YAF has not alleged facts sufficient to show its injury will be redressed by the relief it seeks.
YAF's burden was to allege facts showing it is "likely, as opposed to merely speculative, that [its] injury will be redressed by a favorable decision." Defenders of Wildlife, 504 U.S. at 561, 112 S.Ct. 2130
In arguing the court cannot redress YAF's injury, the Secretary focuses upon the protesters, contending they "are most unlikely to abandon their efforts simply because UCSC may lose federal funds." Appellee Br. 17. YAF, in contrast, argues the "relevant third party here is UCSC," Appellant Br. 18, which it alleges "has given tacit approval" to the protests by failing to prevent them, Amended Compl. ¶ 27.
Regardless upon which third party one puts the emphasis, YAF's task was to allege facts sufficient to show it is likely the Secretary's withholding or threatening to withhold federal funds would enable YAF's members to meet with military recruiters at on-campus job fairs. See Renal Physicians Ass'n, 489 F.3d at 1275 (at pleading stage plaintiff must allege facts showing it is likely "the third party directly injuring the plaintiff would cease doing so as a result of the relief the plaintiff sought"). This it has not done.
As the Supreme Court has pointed out, the Solomon Amendment leaves the University "a choice: Either allow military recruiters the same access to students afforded any other recruiter or forgo certain federal funds." Rumsfeld v. Forum for Academic & Institutional Rights, Inc., 547 U.S. 47, 58, 126 S.Ct. 1297, 164 L.Ed.2d 156 (2006). Based solely upon its allegation that UCSC received $80 million in federal funds in 2005 and receives "tens of millions" every year, Amended Compl. ¶ 9, YAF argues it is not speculative what the University would choose and "there is `little doubt' that UCSC's behavior would change" if the Secretary invoked the Solomon Amendment against it. Appellant Br. 18 (quoting Renal Physicians Ass'n, 489 F.3d at 1275). Merely showing UCSC's behavior would change in some undefined way is not enough, however; YAF must allege facts from which we can reasonably infer it is likely that the loss or threatened loss of the money would motivate the University to act to ensure YAF's members could meet with military recruiters at on-campus job fairs unimpeded.
The Secretary does not claim the University might be able to replace such substantial sums. Cf. St. John's United Church of Christ v. FAA, 550 F.3d 1168, 1170 (D.C.Cir.2008) ("holding petitioners had not shown injury was redressable because they failed to rebut city's claim to have alternative sources for $1.2 billion in federal funds for airport expansion"). We assume, therefore, the University would do what it could do to avoid losing the funds. That the University has at all relevant times had a written policy of providing equal access to military recruiters, see 560 F.Supp.2d at 42, also suggests it is motivated to comply with the Solomon Amendment.
Still, YAF has not alleged facts from which we can reasonably infer UCSC could do more than it has done already to ensure protesters do not impede YAF's members from "access[ing] military recruiters during job fairs on campus," Amended Compl. ¶ 30. As the Secretary points out, YAF's own allegations indicate UCSC is responsive to concerns regarding disruptive protests. YAF alleges "UCSC canceled a job
III. Conclusion
In sum, YAF lacks standing because it has not alleged facts sufficient to show a ruling in its favor will likely redress the injury it claims. The order of the district court dismissing this case for lack of subject matter jurisdiction is therefore
Affirmed.
RANDOLPH, Senior Circuit Judge, concurring in the judgment:
For the reasons stated by Judge Bates, I would affirm solely on the ground that the Administrative Procedure Act, 5 U.S.C. § 701(a)(2), precludes judicial review of the Secretary's decision whether to enforce the Solomon Amendment. See Young America's Found. v. Gates, 560 F.Supp.2d 39, 43-47 (D.D.C.2008).
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