MEMORANDUM OPINION AND ORDER
JORGE L. ALONSO, District Judge.
The case is before the Court on three motions: (1) plaintiffs' motion to preclude defendants from substituting experts; (2) plaintiffs' motion to strike the rebuttal reports of defendants' experts; and (3) defendants' Daubert motion to exclude the testimony of plaintiff's expert, Professor Fischel. For the reasons set forth below, the Court denies all of the motions.
Motion to Preclude Defendants from Substituting Experts
Plaintiffs ask the Court to preclude defendants from using new expert witnesses in the second trial, citing a Tenth Circuit case holding that a district court has the discretion to do so. See Cleveland ex rel. Cleveland v. Piper Aircraft Corp., 985 F.2d 1438, 1449 (10th Cir. 1993). However, the district court in Cleveland made that decision because the new evidence "[was] cumulative and redundant of that which was produced before" and allowing its use "would require extensive additional discovery." Id. at 1450. That is not the case here. Rather, the Seventh Circuit's decision contemplates that there will be additional expert testimony concerning Fischel's loss causation models. See Glickenhaus & Co. v. Household Int'l, Inc., 787 F.3d 408, 422 (7th Cir. 2015), reh'g denied, (July 1, 2015). Moreover, because the parties will have the opportunity to explore the experts' opinions in depositions before the case is retried, no one will be prejudiced if the new experts testify at the second trial. Thus, given the circumstances of this case, the Court exercises its discretion to allow defendants to substitute experts.
Motion to Strike Defendants' Experts' Rebuttal Reports
Plaintiffs ask the Court to strike the expert rebuttal reports defendants filed in support of their Daubert reply brief because the scheduling order does not contemplate such a filing. (See 9/8/15 Order, ECF No. 2042.) Defendants say permission to file rebuttal reports is implicit in the scheduling order, which states that "the Seventh Circuit agrees with defendants" that "[the] Daubert motion . . . as to Dr. Fischel . . . should be filed and decided before [defendants] serve their expert report." (Id. at 5.) Regardless of how the order is interpreted, however, it does not permit defendants to file one set of expert reports in support of their opening Daubert brief and a second set in support of their Daubert reply brief, which is what they did. Thus, the Court will not consider defendants' rebuttal reports in deciding the Daubert motion.
But the Court will not strike the reports either. Because of the perceived ambiguity in the scheduling order, and the fact that, as discussed below, the Court denies the Daubert motion, the Court will allow the rebuttal reports to stand and give plaintiffs an opportunity to file a sur-rebuttal.
Motion to Exclude Fischel's Testimony
Before turning to the parties' arguments, the Court reviews what the Seventh Circuit said about Fischel's testimony. First, it recognized that both of Fischel's models, the specific disclosure model and the leakage model, were potentially viable methods of proving loss causation. Glickenhaus, 787 F.3d at 416-22. The court also recognized that "Fischel's models controlled for market and industry factors and general trends in the economy." Id. at 421. However, the court said, the problem was that "the leakage model . . . didn't account for the extent to which firm-specific, nonfraud related information may have contributed to the decline in Household's share price," and the specific disclosure model "might encounter the same problem, if . . . there was some additional negative firm-specific, nonfraud related information on the same day as a specific disclosure." Id. at 421 & 422 n.7. Thus, the court concluded, on remand, Fischel's testimony could go to the jury if "[he] testifies that no firm-specific, nonfraud related information contributed to the decline in stock price during the relevant time period and explains in nonconclusory terms the basis for this opinion" and (1) defendants do not "identify[] some significant, firm-specific, nonfraud related information that could have affected the stock price"; or (2) defendants identify such information, and Fischel "account[s] for that . . . information" or "exclude[s] from [his] model's calculation any days identified by the defendants on which significant, firm-specific, nonfraud related information was released." Id. at 422-23.
In accordance with the Seventh Circuit's instructions, Fischel used his event study to identify twenty-seven days (that were not included in his specific disclosures model) during the leakage period, i.e., November 15, 2001 to October 11, 2002, on which there were statistically significant declines in Household's stock price. He then analyzed 15,000 pages of market information disclosed on those days and concluded that, with the exception of January 11, 2002, when debt ratings agency Fitch's revised its long-term rating outlook for Household to negative from stable, Household-specific, nonfraud information could not reasonably explain the price declines. Moreover, he said that the decline on January 11, 2002 was canceled out by the statistically significant increase on January 15, 2002, two trading days later, when Credit Suisse First Boston analysts opined that the Fitch revision was unwarranted. Thus, Fischel concluded that no adjustment to his leakage model was required. He went through the same process for the dates identified in his specific disclosure model and concluded that no adjustment was required to that model either.
Defendants argue that Fischel was required to analyze each day in the leakage period, not just the days on which his event study showed that there was a statistically significant price decline. But a stock price decline on a given day can be attributed to firm-specific disclosures only if the decline is statistically significant, see Marge S. Thorsen, Richard A. Kaplan, and Scott Kahala, Rediscovering the Economics of Loss Causation, 6 J. Bus. & Sec. L. 93, 109 (2006), and the Seventh Circuit said Fischel had to exclude from his model only "days . . . on which significant, firm-specific, nonfraud related information was released," Glickenhaus, 787 F.3d at 422-23 (emphasis added). Thus, Fischel's failure to address days on which the price of Household stock increased or did not experience a statistically significant decrease does not make his testimony about the leakage model inadmissible.
Defendants also contend that Fischel's second supplemental report flunks the Daubert test because it "fails to set forth any methodology addressing the universe of firm-specific, nonfraud-related information that Fischel conceded existed." (Defs.' Mem. Law Supp. Mot. Exclude Fischel Testimony at 15-16); see Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharm., 509 U.S. 579, 592-94 (1993). But analyzing market information about Household was a step in the methodology Fischel used (an event study), not the methodology itself. See, e.g., Thorsen, et al., Rediscovering the Economics of Loss Causation, 6 J. Bus. & Sec. L. at 109 ("The first [stage in an event study] is [a] review of all available public information, on a qualitative basis, to identify what investors would find `material.' This stage is guided by economic principles, literature, and the experience of the researcher."). Moreover, analyzing market data based on their expertise is what economic experts do, as evidenced by the report of defendants' expert Professor Ferrell, who did the same thing.
Alternatively, defendants attack the validity of the leakage model generally as a method for quantifying artificial inflation, saying that it does not comport with the academic literature, violates accepted economic standards, improperly includes net inflation both from the days on which there was no statistically significant stock price decline and on the days that there was, and uses the wrong peer index. (Defs.' Mem. Law Supp. Mot. Exclude Fischel at 17-19, 22.) These arguments, however, were rejected by Judge Guzmán and/or the Court of Appeals, and defendants provide no basis for revisiting them now. (See Defs.' Mot. Leave File Instanter Mem. Law Excess Fifteen Pages Supp. Defs.' Daubert Mot. Exclude Expert Testimony Daniel Fischel, Ex. A, Mem. Law Supp. Defs.' Daubert Mot. Exclude Expert Testimony Daniel Fischel at 28-36, ECF No. 1364; 3/23/09 Minute Order Denying Defs.' Daubert Mot. Exclude Fischel Testimony, ECF No. 1527); see also Glickenhaus, 787 F.3d at 415-419.
Because Fischel has sufficiently opined that no firm-specific, nonfraud-related information contributed to the decline in stock price during the relevant time period, the burden shifts to defendants to identify firm-specific, nonfraud-related information that could have affected the stock price. As an initial matter, much of the information defense expert Ferrell discusses was disclosed well before or well after the days on which Fischel's event study shows that there was a statistically significant stock price decline. (See, e.g., Materials Requested Court's Minute Order 12/22/15 ("Defs.' Exs."), Tab 23, Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown Credit Card Quarterly, May 25, 2001; id., Tab 31, CIBC World Markets Equity Research Report on Household, June 20, 2002; id., Tab 33, William Blair & Co. Report on Household, Apr. 17, 2002; id., Tab 34, A.G. Edwards, Specialty Finance Quarterly, Fourth Quarter 2001, Jan. 2, 2002; id., Tab 35, Salomon Smith Barney Report on Household, Jan. 16, 2002; id., Tab 36, Federal Open Market Committee, Current Economic and Financial Conditions, June 20, 2002; id., Tab 38, CIBC World Markets Equity Research Report on Household, Oct. 16, 2002; id., Tab 39, A.G. Edwards Credit Card Industry Review Third-Quarter 2001, Nov. 28, 2001; id., Tab 40, USbancorp Piper Jaffray Report on Household, Jan. 16, 2002; id., Tab 41, Fox-Pitt, Kelton U.S. Specialty Finance Report on Household, HI Gets Bum Rap for Decent 4Q01, Jan. 17, 2002; id., Tab 42, Bernstein Research, Household International: Effect of Increasing Losses Overstated, Feb. 1, 2002; id., Tab 43, Fox-Pitt, Kelton, Credit Cards, May 31, 2002; id., Tab 46, Credit Suisse First Boston, Market Flash: Finance Companies, Household International (Buy) [-] Tops Estimates on Way to 15th Consecutive Quarterly Record; Balance Sheet Significantly Strengthened, Apr. 17, 2002; id., Tab 48, Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown, U.S. Specialty Report, Mar. 28, 2002; id., Tab 53, LaBranche & Co. Report on Household, Mar. 5, 2002; id., Tab 55, Bernstein Research Call, HI[:] Joe Luna of Washington State, May 20, 2002; id., Tab 92, Lehman Brothers Report on Household, Sept. 30, 2002; id., Tab 112, Bernstein Research Call U.S. Consumer Finance report on Household, Feb. 13, 2002; id., Tab 113, Wachovia Securities Report on Household, May 31, 2002.) Because the parties stipulated that Household's stock trades in an efficient market, i.e., that "the value of new information is . . . reflected in [stock] prices quickly after release," Schleicher v. Wendt, 618 F.3d 679, 685 (7th Cir. 2010), it is not clear how such disclosures can explain the statistically significant price declines.
In any event, the categories of disclosures that defendants characterize as firm-specific and unrelated to fraud are neither. (See Defs.' Mem. Supp. Mot. Exclude Fischel at 21.) The issues addressed in the first and second categories identified by defendants, disclosures regarding "Household's liquidity, access to capital markets, and widening bond spreads" and its "credit quality" (id.), were attributed both by defendants and market analysts to the alleged fraud (Household's re-aging and predatory lending practices and the restatement of its earnings) and/or the state of the economy or industry. (See, e.g., Defs.' Exs., Tab 27, A Double Dip? — Monetary Policy in the United States, The Economist, Aug. 17, 2002 ("Another cause for concern is tighter conditions for corporate credit. Borrowing in the corporate-bond market has also got much tougher. Interest-rate spreads . . . have widened sharply. As a result, many firms face a higher cost of capital. . . ."); id., Tab 28, Morgan Stanley Report on Household, Oct. 10, 2002 (""[S]hould Household settle predatory lending allegations, the stock might recover nicely, and so might the bonds. . . ."); id., Tab 29, CIBC World Markets Earnings Update on Household, July 17, 2002 ("Household has sought to improve its liquidity and reduce its reliance on commercial paper as a source of funds given the volatile market conditions."); id., Tab 31, CIBC World Markets Equity Research Report on Household at 3, June 20, 2002 ("[T]he weakening economy presented its own set of challenges [to Household] largely with respect to credit quality trends. Furthermore, given that the non-prime customers targeted by the company are generally more economically sensitive and less interest rate driven, rising unemployment levels had a significant impact on the portfolio's credit performance."); id., Tab 32, Salomon Smith Barney, HI: 2Q02 EPS A Mixed Bag Trimming Ests, Target to Be Prudent, July 18, 2002 (noting that charge offs had increased in the "other unsecured segment" of Household's business, which "[m]anagement attributed . . . to the demographics of borrowers. . . . [who are] "the most affected during a downturn in the economy," and saying, "[g]iven the uncertainty of the current macro-economic picture, the risks that Household faces include: rising credit costs given its largely non-prime customer base in a slowing economy, slowing loan growth due to more cautious consumers and increasing prepayments, competitive end markets, and a slowing pace of help from interest rate reductions."); id., Tab 33, William Blair & Co., Household International: Strong First Quarter, Up 20%; Raising Estimates, Apr. 17, 2002 ("We expect investors to continue to focus on the economic environment and credit. Consumer credit quality should weaken in 2002, given weak economic backdrop, high level of bankruptcies, and residual impact from higher unemployment."); id., Tab 38, CIBC World Markets Report on Household, Oct. 16, 2002 (saying that "the elevated personal bankruptcy filing activity is largely to blame for the higher losses during the quarter" and, as that activity abates, "credit quality should stabilize"); id., Tab 40, USbancorp Piper Jaffray Report on Household, Jan. 16, 2002 ("[I]nvestors need to be cognizant of individual consumer's [sic] balance sheet and trends affecting them such as higher unemployment, lower consumer confidence, and lower spending levels which can keep a lid on HI's shares in the near term."); id., Tab 41, Fox-Pitt, Kelton U.S. Specialty Finance Report on Household, HI Gets Bum Rap for Decent 4Q01, Jan. 17, 2002 ("Credit quality held up reasonably well, particularly in light of the poor performance of other players in the sub-prime and near-prime markets. . . ."); id., Tab 42, Bernstein Research, Household International: Effect of Increasing Losses Overstated, Feb. 1, 2002 (saying that "Household['s] . . . stock price has become over-discounted due to media attention around accounting practices (with concerns exaggerated), a predatory-lending lawsuit in California (now settled), a negative change in rating outlook by Fitch (no impact on debt spreads or liquidity) and deteriorating [auto portfolio] loss trends, which are "related to price weakness in the used car market," "seasonal effects" and "lax underwriting," which Household was expected to "tighten" during the year, and "maintain[ing] [the] outperform rating on [Household's] stock"); id., Tab 44, Credit Suisse First Boston, Market Flash: Finance Companies, Household International (Buy) — Headlines Hang Over Name, Jan. 15, 2002 (noting that Household "is having a difficult run of things of late" because of "questions (overblown, in our view) about the company's accounting standards" and the decrease in Fitch rating due to Fitch's "Negative outlook for the broader consumer finance business"); id., Tab 45, Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown Inc., Household International, Inc. . . . Unsubstantiated Claims Continue to Haunt Stock, Feb. 7, 2002 ("The shares of Household International continue to plummet on unsubstantiated claims, in our opinion, of issues with liquidity, accounting and lawsuits. . . . This market is extremely emotional and sensitive. There are serious issues heightened by well-publicized events of Enron and Tyco, among others. Household appears to have been caught up in the maelstrom."); id., Tab 46, Credit Suisse First Boston, Market Flash: Finance Companies, Household International (Buy) [-] Tops Estimates on Way to 15th Consecutive Quarterly Record; Balance Sheet Significantly Strengthened, Apr. 17, 2002 ("The company . . . took steps to enhance its liquidity position in the wake of the first quarter's volatile funding environment."); id., Tab 47, Goldman Sachs Report on Household, Aug. 14, 2002 ("While [Household's] debt spreads are quite high . . . this reflects the troubled state of debt capital markets, the `baggage' associated with `subprime' and the specialty finance sector in general, and the uncertainties related to the weaker economic market. . . . We believe that longer term the regulatory/predatory lending [issue] will remain an important investor issue."); id., Tab 57, Jonathon R. Laing, Doubting Tyco, Barron's, Jan. 28, 2002 (stating that "[a]mong [Jim Chanos'] current shorts are lenders with large exposures to the sub-prime credit market, including Household . . . . [because] [a] rotten economy has exposed their borrower base to hard times" and "[t]he sector has . . . engaged in aggressive accounting to burnish results"); id., Tab 61, Bear Stearns & Co., Household International . . . More Bad Publicity . . . How Much Worse Can It Get?, Feb. 6, 2002 (stating that Household's share price decline "appears to reflect a severe bout of accounting and liquidity panic" and that, "[a]s a company that relies on the capital markets for funding, Household remains vulnerable to these crises of confidence"); id., Tab 62, A.G. Edwards Analyst Report on Household, Feb. 6, 2002 (attributing "weakness in HI shares to industry credit quality concerns and accounting-related concerns" and stating that "investor sentiment on the consumer finance sector is poor today"); id., Tab 63, Erick Bergquist, Consumer Finance Firms' Outlook Bleak, Fitch Says, American Banker, Feb. 21, 2002 ("Prospects are still poor for consumer finance companies. . . . With capital markets volatile, competition keen, and the economy slogging through its first recession in a decade, investors have turned against finance companies."); id., Tab 66, Ventana Capital, LLC, Household International "Looking for Quality Earnings? You Won't Find It Here!," Apr. 25, 2002 (stating that "reported delinquencies, charge-offs, reserves, cash flow and earnings mean absolutely nothing when taking into consideration the massive amount of reaging in Household's portfolio" and "the massive amount of reaging at Household signifies . . . that there is an underwriting problem that needs to be fixed"); id., Tab 68, Fitch Ratings Report: Finance Company Capital Standards, Business Wire, Apr. 29, 2002 (noting that Fitch made adjustments to risk-based capitalization "in unsecured consumer assets, subprime real estate, and manufactured housing loans" and that "concern over relative asset liquidity, noticeable deterioration in some consumer assets classes, mainly subprime unsecured and manufactured housing lending, caused a rise in those given risk weights for 2002"); id., Tab 73, Tara Seigel Bernard, Card Cos 2Q EPS Produce Mixed Bag: Trends Mostly Stable, Dow Jones Newswires, July 1, 2002 ("[T]he investment community . . . says it will be looking for updates regarding legal claims against [Household] alleging predatory lending."); id., Tab 80, Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Report at 9, July 18, 2002 (lowering its EPS estimates for Household for 2002 and 2003 "[g]iven the lower market valuations and cloud overhanging all subprime lenders"); id., Tab 81, Ted Cornwell, Subprime Forecast: Defaults Will Edge Up on Today's Loans, Mortgage Servicing News, July 19, 2002 ("The weak economy is causing the risk of default on newly originated, nonprime credit quality mortgages to rise again. . . ."); id., Tab 82, Credit Suisse First Boston Finance Companies Market Flash, The Most Puzzling Bond of All, July 26, 2002 (stating that "markets [were] punishing investor perception of the brokers and regulators becoming more vigilant in their oversight of banks," and that Household's bonds had "been swept out to historic wides" because "short sellers can draw a line, however vague, between Capital One . . . and Household"); id., Tab 83, Portales Partners, LLC, Household International[:] What's Wrong with this Picture?, Aug. 5, 2002 (noting that Household has "increased loan-to-value ratios of home equity loans in pursuit of growth" and saying: "At a minimum, we believe the changing risk profile could lead to substantially higher losses in the current weak economic environment. At most, the rising loan-to-value ratios would suggest a strategy on the part of the company to increase loan-to-value ratios to a point where consumers would be unable to refinance any mortgage away from Household, a practice that is increasingly consider[ed] predatory."); id., Tab 86, UBS Warburg Report on Household, Sept. 18, 2002 (stating that "[Household] shares have come under considerable pressure recently as investors fret over the company's capital levels, blowups at competitor companies and legal actions surrounding predatory lending" and "persistent predatory lending issues could increase [Household's] borrowing costs in the near term."); id., Tab 95, CIBC World Markets Report on Household, Oct. 7, 2002 ("Although the bankcard and private label card portfolios have reported credit deterioration, the magnitude has been roughly as expected given the weak economy and consumer leverage."); id., Tab 98, Jenny Wiggins, Finance Company Spreads Widen, FT.com, Oct. 8, 2002 ("Credit spreads for specialty US finance companies [including Household] have widened sharply this week as concern grows over their ability to continue accessing the capital markets."); id., Tab 102, William Blair & Co., Household International Restates Financials for Credit Card Business, Aug. 14, 2002 (noting that the restatement caused a capital decline of $386 million and stating that Household's management "raised its targeted capital ratio" and to achieve it, "suspended its current stock-buyback" and will "consider whole loans sales and, if need be, raising capital"); id., Tab 103, Bear, Stearns & Co., Inc., Restatement Should Have Modest Impact on Household, Aug. 14, 2002 (noting, in light of the restatement, that Household "will temporarily stop buying back stock, and may issue equity-like capital securities in the near-term" and that "the bigger issues, going forward, . . . relate to liquidity, leverage and of course the regulatory environment. . . . things that have been on investors['] minds for some time now"); id., Tab 104, Salomon Smith Barney, HI: Certifies Statements, But Restates $386 Million Past Incom[e], Aug. 14, 2002 (stating that, because of the restatement, "Household will suspend its buyback plan . . . to rebuild capital," "management credibility may continue to be banged up a bit in the minds of investors. . . . [a]nd with the continuing backdrop of predatory lending discussions, it is difficult to identify a near-term catalyst that will move the stock higher," and "the biggest risk to the Household story is that jittery debt markets make the company's cost of funding prohibitive or mechanically difficult."); id., Tab 105, Fitch Ratings, Fitch Affirms Household at `A' Following Announcement, Aug. 14, 2002 ("Concerns with Household continue to center on the company's ability to demonstrate effective portfolio liquidity, particularly in times of economic stress"); id., Tab 106, A.G. Edwards, HI Restates Earnings Due to Accounting Issues — Estimates and PO Change, Aug. 16, 2002 (stating that "we are adjusting our earnings estimates to reflect the restatement and slightly lowered expectations based on a weaker than expected macro-economic environment"); id., Tab 110, Christine Richard, Finance Co. Bonds Slide Despite 41-Yr Low in Tsy Yields, Dow Jones Newswires, Sept. 23, 2002 ("[B]onds issued by finance companies have been some of the worst performers in the corporate bond market."); Brooks Decl., Vol. 1, Ex. 1, Fischel 2d Rebuttal Report, Ex. 1, Janet Kidd Stewart, HSBC Adds Household to Holdings, Chicago Tribune, Nov. 15, 2002 (reporting that Household would be acquired by HSBC and that Household CEO Aldinger "said the company's weaker share price and higher borrowing costs as a result of [the predatory lending] allegations helped spur the deal"); id., Ex. 4, Moody's Investors Service Press Release, Oct. 11, 2002 ("Moody's noted that the cloud of uncertainty surrounding Household's potential legal liability for alleged `predatory lending' abuses pushed the company's bond spreads out to unprecedented levels and raised market concerns about funding access over time."); id., Ex. 6, Credit Suisse First Boston, Non-Bank Financial and Broker/Dealer SpreadWatch, Oct. 16, 2002 ("`[N]ews of [Household's] settlement with state regulators over its business practices drove spreads more than 100 bps tighter. . . ."); id., Ex. 25, Justin Pope, Tyco Shares Plunge Again on Accounting Worries, Associated Press, Feb. 4, 2002 ("On a conference call with investors, Tyco Capital officials acknowledged they have been shut out of the corporate bond market in recent days on accounting worries."); id., Ex. 27, Tammy Williamson, Household Says It Can Get Capital for Loans, Chicago Sun-Times, Feb. 8, 2002 (reporting that Household held a conference call with investors "amid fast and furious rumors this week that [it] and other finance companies, which lend to higher-risk borrowers, could suffer losses as borrowers find it more difficult to repay loans in a recessionary economy" and investor "skittish[ness] [about] whether [such] companies will have accounting problems similar to those of Enron"); id., Ex. 29, Steve Maich, `Attack Mentality' Has Markets on the Run: Another Bad Week, National Post, Feb. 9, 2002 ("Fallout from the Enron debacle is quickly developing into what investors have called a `crisis of confidence' in the state of financial disclosure and accounting in the United States."); id., Ex. 72, Dow Jones, Household International Investor Conference Call — Final, Aug. 14, 2002 (Household officials tying the restatement to capital and liquidity issues).)
The third through sixth
In short, defendants have not identified "significant, firm-specific, nonfraud related information that could have affected the [Household] stock price." Glickenhaus, 787 F.3d at 421. Accordingly, their motion to exclude Fischel's testimony is denied.
Conclusion
For the reasons set forth above, the Court denies plaintiffs' motion to preclude defendants from substituting experts [2068], plaintiffs' motion to strike defendants' expert rebuttal reports [2086], and defendants' motion to exclude Fischel's testimony [2058]. In light of this order, the parties are directed to file on or before February 8, 2016 a joint proposed schedule for the case going forward.
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